TOPIC #138Intermediate 17 min read

Causal and Autoregressive Language Modeling

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Key takeawayCore Concept Summary

Every LLM rests on one idea: write the probability of a whole sequence as a chain of next-token steps, P(x) = Π P(xₜ | x<ₜ). Train all the steps at once with a triangular attention mask and teacher forcing; run them one at a time at inference with a KV cache; then decide, by your sampling rule, how bold or careful the model sounds.

01.The Problem: A Sentence Is Not a Bag of Words

Suppose a model knows single-word probabilities:

P("the") = 0.05, P("cat") = 0.01, P("banana") = 0.002

Insight

What is the probability of the whole sentence "the cat sat"?

You cannot just multiply those numbers — that would treat the words as independent, and "banana elephant Tuesday" would score like real English.

The probability of a sentence depends on order and context: P("cat") is tiny alone, but large right after "the".

So the real question is how to define and compute

P(entire sequence of tokens)

in a way a neural network can both train and sample from.

One option (which BERT effectively chose, Concept 135): ask each position "guess your own missing word from the neighbors." Great for understanding — but the result is not a probability of whole sequences, so you cannot generate with it.

The other option is the one every GPT-class model uses: insist that the sequence unfolds left to right, one genuinely conditional step at a time. That family is the causal (autoregressive) language model, and its math fits on one line.

The Autoregressive Generate Loop 🔁

PRO Architecture Blueprint

The Autoregressive Generate Loop 🔁

Training computes all positions in parallel once; inference loops one token at a time, leaning on the KV cache so each step only pays for the newest position.

The Autoregressive Generate Loop 🔁
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